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Investing Ahead of the AI Curve: The Second Derivative

Investing Ahead of the AI Curve: The Second Derivative

November 15, 2025

Beyond the Model Builders

As the initial frenzy around Large Language Models (LLMs) settles into a mature industrial phase, the “easy money” in direct AI application developers has likely been made. The next frontier for the quantitative investor lies in the physical constraints of compute.

The Energy Bottleneck

Training a frontier model in 2025 requires gigawatts of power. Data centers are competing with cities for grid access.

  • Nuclear Micro-reactors: We are seeing a surge in valuation for modular nuclear solutions.
  • Grid Modernization: Copper and high-voltage transmission equipment manufacturers are the silent winners of the AI boom.

Specialized Compute

While general-purpose GPUs started the revolution, inference-specialized ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) are scaling it.

“During a gold rush, sell shovels. During an AI revolution, sell cooling systems and transmission lines.”

Outlook: We remain overweight on utilities with heavy renewable exposure and semiconductor fabrication equipment, while reducing exposure to pure-play software wrappers.